MY BLOG
Average Toronto house nears $500,000
full details about this article in the Star Moneyville saturday February 4th
http://www.moneyville.ca/article/1125810--toronto-real-estate-sizzles-as-gta-area-home-prices-rise-9-per-cent-in-january
Low interest rates, and low inventories of houses for sale, helped
push house prices up almost 9 per cent across the GTA this January over
last, according to statistics released by the Toronto Real Estate Board
Friday.
The average sale price across the GTA hit $463,534 in January. But
average price of a home in the Toronto 416 regions came in just shy of
$500,000 — $499,045 — compared to $442,380 in the 905 regions, TREB
says. More in the article
Canadian home prices to rise again in 2012: Report
A real estate puts up a 'sold' sign in
front of a house in Toronto on Tuesday, April 20, 2010. (THE CANADIAN
PRESS/Darren Calabrese)
TORONTO — Canadian home prices will continue to go up in 2012,
although at a slower pace than they did last year, according to one of
the country's largest real-estate sales organizations.
Royal LePage, which franchises brokerages across the country,
predicted Thursday that the national average for resale homes will
increase this year by 2.8 per cent by the end of 2012.
It said the national average price for a standard two-storey home
was $375,427 in the fourth quarter of 2011, up 4.2 per cent from 2010.
"Widespread calls for a major real estate correction in 2012
simply can't be justified. The industry has significant momentum
entering the year, and buoyed by the stimulative effect of very low
interest rates, we expect the market to continue to expand -- albeit at a
slower pace," said Phil Soper, the president and CEO of Royal LePage
Real Estate Services.
National averages don't tell the whole story, however, since there
are wide variations depending on the type of home and location.
In Vancouver, a standard two-storey home had an average price of
$1.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2012, up 10.9 per cent from a year
ago. By contrast, two-storey homes in Atlantic Canada had an average
price of $200,000 or less in several cities where increases were fairly
flat compared with a year ago.
In Toronto, which is usually the country's second-most expensive
real-estate market after Vancouver, Royal LePage found strong price
gains for most housing types in the fourth quarter -- due to a lack of
available properties and steady demand.
The Royal LePage forecast came as the Statistics Canada reported
the price of new homes rose again in November, led by gains in Toronto
and Montreal.
The government agency's new housing price index rose 0.3 per cent
in November, after a 0.2 per cent increase in October. On an annual
basis, the index was 2.5 per cent higher in November compared with
November 2010.
The largest year-over-year price increases in reported by
Statistics Canada were in Toronto and Oshawa, Ont., where they were up
6.2 per cent.
In 2012, Royal LePage expects that real estate values in Toronto
will increase 2.6 per cent compared to 2011 -- slightly slower than the
national growth rate.
In the fourth quarter, the average price for detached bungalows
rose 7.2 per cent from a year earlier to $532,137; prices for standard
two-storey homes rose 4.2 per cent to $629,188 and standard condos rose
3.4 per cent to $347,659.
Some economists have said housing prices in certain Canadian
markets, including the Toronto area, may be too high to be sustainable
and are due for a correction. However, LePage said housing prices have
been high in Toronto because demand has outstripped supply.
"Inventory has been a challenge for Toronto's potential buyers
throughout 2011 and this restricted supply has put upward pressure on
prices," said Gino Romanese, senior vice-president for Royal LePage Real
Estate Services Ltd.
"Standard condominiums in the resale market saw a more modest
increase due to a healthier supply that was created by newer units
coming online. However, demand for older units has increased as they are
generally larger in size and preferable to (people down-sizing from
houses) who are used to more space."
In Victoria and Saint John, N.B., house prices were flat or
slightly down in the fourth quarter, compared with the same period of
2010.
In Saint John, detached bungalows fell 2.2 per cent year-over-year
to $179,946, while standard two-storey properties slipped 0.3 per cent
to $298,076. Condos were the exception, with average prices climbing
16.1 per cent year-over-year to $159,370, although LePage said those
increases weren't typical.
In Victoria, standard two-storey homes were unchanged, with prices
remaining at $480,000 while detached bungalows slipped 0.8 per cent to
$486,000 and condos dropping 1.1 per cent to $282,000.
CREDIT SCORE
Your credit score is a three-digit number that can determine whether or not you get a and at what rate.
Many companies also use credit scores to decide what you pay to protect your home and belongings from damage.
So, what does your credit score say about you? How can you get it? And how can you improve it?
Credit scoring was developed by Fair Isaac & Co. in the United States to help credit bureaus assess the risk to lenders.
Equifax, one of Canada’s two major credit bureaus, is licensed to use the FICO score, known as the Beacon score here. Its rival, TransUnion, uses a slightly different score (called Empirica).
Your credit score is not the same as your credit report, which shows your payment history. The credit report is free for you to check, but you can’t get your credit score without paying $15 to $25 or so to check it online.
Ignore any offers of free credit scores. They’re only teasers to sell you something else, such as a monthly credit monitoring service.
The biggest part of your score (35%) is your payment history. This shows if you pay bills on time, have any unpaid debts or have been through bankruptcies, consumer proposals or debt management plans.
Another big part (30%) is based on how much you owe.
If you carry an $8,000 balance on a credit card with a $10,000 limit – even if you pay the minimum on time each month – your credit score will drop. So, it pays to keep your balances down and not get close to your credit limits.
Another 15 per cent of your credit score is based on how long your accounts have been open and used. You may be a newcomer to Canada with no record of loans or someone whose spouse takes care of all credit transactions.
To be seen as a good credit risk, it’s not enough to be approved for credit. You have to use the credit you’re given.
Another 10% of your credit score depends on the balance between revolving credit (such as credit cards) and instalment loans (such as mortgages or car loans).
Lenders like to see both types of credit. Revolving credit can be maxed out since the rates are high enough to absorb losses, while instalment loans with fixed payments must be approved and supervised closely.
The remaining 10% of your score is based on how much new credit you’ve obtained or applied for. This shouldn’t be too high a percentage of all the credit shown on your file.
If you’re shopping for credit, do it within a 15-day period, since that will show as one credit inquiry.
Otherwise, do your shopping with a copy of your credit score, which you can show to lenders to find out what they will you.
Banks may give the three-digit number if you ask, but they’re not supposed to give the context that goes with it.
For information, go to www.equifax.ca and www.transunion.ca. You can also read the Financial Consumer Agency of Canada’s publication, Understanding your Credit Report and Credit Score, at www.fcac.gc.ca.
source Toronto Star
Stage is set for one of the best recreational property
markets in years, says the market
Greater affordability, increased selection, and pent-up demand also key factors in 2011 season
Canada’s
recreational property market is gaining serious traction as savvy
purchasers take advantage of ideal conditions, setting the stage for
what is expected to be the best market in recent years, according to a
report released today by RE/MAX.
The
2011 RE/MAX Recreational Property Report, examining sales and trends in
46 markets across the country, found that substantial equity gains and
recovering stock portfolios in major centres have contributed to an
upswing in demand from coast to coast. Demand rose in 78 per cent of
markets, while sales were up or on par in 41 per cent of recreational
centres. Inclement weather, including a late thaw and an abundance of
precipitation, resulted in a slow start in many areas, but should be
offset by stronger peak season activity. While starting prices have
remained relatively stable across the board, there are deals to be had
in virtually every region – especially at the top end. Luxury sales, as a
result, have climbed in almost half of the markets examined. Inventory
levels are healthy throughout the country, although there has been
some tightening reported at entry-level price points in about one-third
of markets. Some of the best selection of product in recent years is
now available.
Buyers
who held off during the recession are back in recreational property
markets from coast-to-coast. Their patience has been rewarded with more
affordable recreational values and greater inventory levels. It’s the
perfect storm, as ideal market conditions dovetail with wealth
recovery.
The
report also found that Americans are cashing out—especially in Ontario
and Atlantic Canada. For many, the timing has never been better. The
vast majority purchased in Canadian markets when the dollar fell to 65
cents. These sellers are now taking advantage of price appreciation and
the currency exchange.
In
British Columbia, the recreational property report identified prices at
or near bottom. Astute purchasers—many of whom were scooping up
product south of the border—are starting to cherry pick in markets where
oceanfront prices are down from peak, pre-recession levels. Softer
values have driven up sales in Western Canada, with transactions up or
on par in 58 per cent of markets, well ahead of the national average.
Opportunities
that haven’t been seen in years are now presenting themselves,
especially on the West Coast. Prices are down as much as 20 per cent
from peak levels reported in 2006-2007, bringing ownership within reach
to many potential purchasers. The strengthening oil sector has also
brought Albertans back into mix, driving demand for both local and
coastal B.C. properties. 2011 could be the turning point.
In
markets in Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada, the supply of
recreational property has tightened considerably at the lower end, with
potential price increases in store by year-end if momentum continues at
the current pace.
At
present, 50 per cent of markets recreational product at $350,000
or less, including most Ontario markets, Atlantic Canada, the
Laurentians and three markets in the West—Lake Winnipeg, Canmore and
Harrison Lake. Yet, even greater value exists for those willing to
compromise on lot, or type of access, such as riverfront, view
properties, condominiums, fractional ownership or boat access options.
With
overall economic performance improving daily and consumer confidence
rising, the resurgence of Canadian recreational property markets is a
natural progression. An upswing in discretionary spending is once again
drawing purchasers to what is, without question, an innate Canadian
pastime.
The
report noted that the composition of the country’s recreational
destinations continues to evolve. Fewer traditional cottages are
available for sale than in years past. As the desire for the year-round
lifestyle continues to drive renovation and new construction activity,
these waterfront properties are disappearing from the landscape.
Meanwhile, today’s average recreational getaways are truly earning the
distinction as the “home away from home,” with many of the bells,
whistles and comforts of their residential counterparts. The movement
is challenging local municipalities to manage the delicate balance
between regional growth and natural preservation—in some instances,
changing recreational migration patterns in the process.
To discuss your real estate needs please contact Sloan Van Mierlo,
Sales representative at Right at Home Realty Brokerage Contact Sloan at
416-986-2121 416-393-3232 or click soldwithsloan.com.
Demand for luxury homes intensifies amid rising Canadian and global wealth
Record or near-record activity reported in most major centres from coast-to-coast
Improved
financial standing among high net worth individuals is the major factor
driving strong sales activity at the top end of Canadian housing
markets, according to a report released by RE/MAX.
RE/MAX
Ontario-Atlantic Canada and RE/MAX of Western Canada examined 12 major
centres from coast-to-coast and found that luxury sales have surged in
close to two-thirds of housing markets between January 1 and April 30 of
this year, compared to the same period in 2010. Leading in terms of
percentage increases over the four-month period were Greater Vancouver
(118 per cent)—where foreign investment has also played a major
role—Ottawa (59 per cent), Calgary (51 per cent), Halifax-Dartmouth (27
per cent), Winnipeg (24 per cent), Hamilton-Burlington (13 per cent) and
Greater Toronto (nine per cent). Six of the seven major cities—with
the exception of Calgary—are poised to set new records in top-end
activity by year-end. Several are just short of peak levels reported in
2010, such as Victoria, Regina, and London-St. Thomas.
Three
key factors—serious equity gains, stock market recovery, and improved
economic performance—have been behind the push for luxury housing
product across the country. The combination also continues to bolster
the bottom line of high net worth individuals both nationally and
globally. The impact of that wealth is being seen in the demand for all
things luxury—from homes to cars, collectibles and fine wines.
While
foreign investment has augmented sales activity in several Canadian
markets, its influence was only significant in Greater Vancouver. The
vast majority of regions reported that locals were the primary drivers
of demand for luxury product. A number of factors position Canada as an
attractive option, foremost that its real estate remains a bargain by
international standards, given its ranking for quality of life,
political and economic stability and the strength of its property laws.
To those from abroad, it’s the perfect mix.
The
strength of the upper-end segment continues to defy expectations. That
demand remains largely domestic speaks to the solid underpinnings of
the market, while underscoring the appeal of Canadian real estate on an
international stage. Western Canada, in particular, will continue to
see the upside benefit of investment from abroad.
The
climbing wealth factor has played a role. The financial status and
number of millionaires is rising once again—a fact supported by several
recent studies released by notable institutions such as CapGemini/Merril
Lynch, Citi Private Bank, Deloitte Centre for Financial Services, and
Investor Economics—to name a few. While estimates vary, the studies
concluded that the high net worth population in Canada and/or abroad—and
its corresponding fortunes—is trending upward and will experience
considerable expansion forward. Despite the impact of the
2008/2009 global financial crisis, most millionaire portfolios/assets
have improved or exceed pre-downturn levels. Of particular interest,
residential real estate holdings have increased among high net worth
individuals, as they express a clear preference for tangible assets.
This trend is expected to continue, and serve to boost high-end
residential real estate in months ahead, as the move to diversify assets
continues in 2011.
As
Canada’s millionaire club swells in size, inventory will play an
increasing role in future, as the existing upper end housing stock
struggles to keep pace with growing demand in central core areas,
particularly in Canada’s gateway centres. Infill, renovation and new
construction are helping to some extent—while driving up prices in
tandem. The building activity is also serving to create new prime areas
in areas that were once considered high-end peripherals, as well as in
suburban communities.
Limited
inventory levels in Canada’s largest markets have hampered sales
activity to some extent in 2011, given that demand exceeds available
supply. Multiple offers are occurring in both Greater Vancouver and
Greater Toronto, as buyers compete for quality product in prime
neighbourhoods.
To discuss your real estate needs please contact Sloan Van Mierlo,
Sales representative at Right at Home Realty Brokerage Contact Sloan at
416-986-2121 416-393-3232 or click soldwithsloan.com.
10 things to check before you buy a new home
By Emily Hsieh, Shine staff
The
process of buying a new home—especially if it’s your first time—is
incredibly intimidating. And while there are certain things you may know
you’re going to want to change upon in (like paint colors or
retiling), if you’ve never gone through this before you may not know
what else to watch out for before you sign the dotted line (just because
a home is gorgeous on the outside, it’s not impervious to having a
bunch of costly-to-fix issues that go way beyond the surface—remember The Money Pit?). Here, via apartmenttherapy.com, a handy checklist of all kinds of things a potential should be mindful of:
1. Check the drains to make sure they’re not backed-up. To test, do a
load of laundry, fill up the tub and sinks, and try to drain them all at
the same time.
2.
Open all the windows all the way to make sure they’re able to open and
shut completely—fixing them is not only a pain, but a financial drain.
3. Turn on all the faucets and make sure they’re in working order.
4.
Light a fire in the fireplace. While cleaning them is pretty easy (just
call a chimney sweeper), you should also make sure they
draft correctly.
5. Taste the water. Even if the city you live in has great water, if you’ve got old pipes, they may send out debris into yours.
6. Flush the toilets. Make sure that the toilets are able to flush toilet paper.
7.
Open the electrical panel. Watch out for loose wires or ones that
simply don’t connect to anything, which could be a sign of live wires
inside!
8.
Turn on the heat/air. Not only do you want to ensure they turn out, but
check to see if they heat/cool to their designated temperatures.
9.
Pull the carpets back. Peel away a corner of the carpet to verify
what’s underneath (often there’s hardwood under there) and to make sure
it’s not mildewing.
10.Basement
moisture. Check for signs of dampness, not just on the walls, but near
things like dehumidifiers, which suck water out of the air.
Dated decor, extreme customization behind bad MLS listings
May 18, 2010 Paul Gallant Special to Yourhome.ca
It took
one homeowner about 45 years to collect 30,000 bobblehead dolls—and a
big chunk of his home to store them. The real estate selling the
place had to think quickly to come up with a strategy so the colourful
collection wouldn’t scare away potential buyers.
“I
decided to mention that he was the original owner, so people would be
prepared,” says Brian Mayer, an agent for Royal LePage in Toronto. “I
also made sure the remarks said that all that custom shelving would be
removed.”
When it
comes to creating real estate listings that will attract potential
buyers to their home, sellers aren’t always the best judges of what
works for the multiple listing service (MLS) at Realtor.ca. Not everybody can afford to stage their home to make it appealing to buyers, but some owners can be their own worst enemy.
Dated or
eccentric decor, massive clutter and extreme customization populate the
most cringe-worthy listings. The U.S.-based website Hookedonhouses.net features
photos of homes overrun with stuffed animals, china and questionable
murals. Mayer’s even come across a bright-orange swastika poster, which
he, of course, suggested be removed. Though most homeowners will follow
their agent’s lead to sell their property, some are surprised when
they’re told that photographs or descriptions of their passions do not
make for an effective listing.
“It’s
hard to tell them to take things down or get rid of things without them
taking it personal,” says Mayer. “You don’t judge them but you really
have to encourage them to clean things up.” Too many family photos, too
many plants, too much art—it all gets in the way of helping buyers
imagine themselves living there.
Homeowners
who spent a lot of money on cabinets and other custom features often
see only how much money they spent on the upgrade—not the fact that the
customization might be decades out of date.
“I
remember one client who wanted me to mention the custom wall treatment,”
says Steven Green, also an agent at Royal LePage in Toronto. “I suppose
it would have been great if you had walked in there without your
glasses on. It was hellacious—multicoloured and gold. They wanted me to
take pictures of it for the digital virtual tour. I did, but I can’t say
it looked good.”
Sometimes
homeowners work hard to help sell the property—it’s just that their
judgment about what potential buyers are looking for can be shaky.
Stuart Sankey, a representative with Re/Max Hallmark Realty Ltd. in
Toronto, remembers one client who decided to repaint the place for the
listing photos. Sankey brought over an interior designer to check it out
and they soon discovered that rather than opting for neutrals—the
safest bet—the owner had picked out colours he had found on sale.
“The
designer opened the door and, well, she’s still in therapy,” says
Sankey, who suggests talking to the designer first, painting later.
Mayer
remembers one who wanted to include photos of their family at
dinner—the table fully set, the wine served—to show how many people the
dining room could fit and how much fun they could have there. Then there
was the home that promised parking for eight vehicles—and the photo
showing eight vehicles crammed onto the pad to demonstrate it was true.
Some
selling features are, to the average buyer, not features at all. To say
that contaminated land was cleaned up years ago is only reminding people
that the land was contaminated in the first place. A “lush” backyard
garden often turns out to be overgrown. Green discourages phrases like
“steps from a bus stop,” which not only emphasizes convenience but the
possibility of noisy mass transit going by at all hours. “You can
rephrase it so people know it’s there without thinking of the nuisance.”
Green has also had to talk people out of mentioning steam rooms and
saunas at properties where the facilities have not been working for
years—potential buyers would end up feeling disappointed.
Of
course, then there are the sellers who don’t try at all. Sankey
remembers one client who filled his condo with boxes and never unpacked
before putting the place back on the market, a strategy that made it all
but impossible to get into the unit’s second bedroom. “He would hang
his laundry to dry all over the place and pick them up as he wore them.
There were crunchy white Jockeys everywhere. It was the first time I
never took a picture for the listings.” Green remembers a
multi-million-dollar property where the owner refused to cut the grass.
Finally,
there are the overlooked details. Photos of the backyard in full bloom
are a great idea, especially for a wintertime listing. Less so if they
include cats, dogs and other occupants that aren’t included in the sale.
Green remembers one who had a lovely backyard deck and submitted
what would have been great photos.
“Except the barbecue was open. Your eyes went straight to it,” he says, “And it was filthy.”
To discuss your real estate needs please contact Sloan Van Mierlo,
Sales representative at Right at Home Realty Brokerage Contact Sloan at
416-986-2121 416-393-3232 or click soldwithsloan.com.
Real estate fraud rare but experts warn homeowners to be on the lookout
by Malcolm Morrison, THE CANADIAN PRESS
Thursday, April 8, 2010
TORONTO
- Real estate fraud is a rare thing but experts in the field say that
doesn't mean people should assume it will never happen to them -
considering the misery it can inflict on the unwary homeowner, it's
worth knowing that it's out there and it's nasty.
"I compare the fraud issue to the lottery," said Ray Leclair of title provider TitlePlus.
"There
are millions of transactions in Ontario alone in real property every
year. A very minute number of those are fraudulent. So for the public to
win or lose in the fraud lottery, the odds are very low."
But
it's not an experience you would ever want to go through, he said, even
though governments have put in place some measures to make it easier
for people to regain ownership title that have been fraudulently
pilfered.
"At the end of the day, even if you get your title back, there's the question of (legal fees)."
There are two types of real estate fraud to be concerned about - fraud and title fraud.
Mortgage
fraud is something that is more troublesome for lenders. It involves a
fraudster leaving the title or ownership of a property in the current
owner's name but mortgaging it without their knowledge, sometimes by
fraudulently discharging the existing mortgage. It can also happen when a
would-be homeowner falsifies information to get a mortgage.
"That's just a fact of lending," said Laura Parsons, manager of specialized sales for Bank of Montreal in Calgary.
"There
are people out there who normally wouldn't get a granted to them
but because they are fraudulent and give incomplete information or they
don't let the lender know all the information, they end up getting
approved."
What
the average homeowner has to look out for is title fraud. It happens
when a fraudster changes the ownership or title of a property into
another name in order to sell or refinance the property.
According
to the Ontario Ministry of Consumer Services, "it often involves
fraudsters using stolen identity or forged documents to transfer a
registered owner's title to himself or herself securing a on
the property and then disappearing with the mortgage proceeds."
Parsons calls it a form of identity theft.
"So
they know all the details of the person, they go to the land title
registry, they pull a title and they find out that there is no
encumbrance on the property," she said.
"Now they have basically a ticket to sell the property, so they go in and they can change home ownership."
If
the fraudster has enough information, they can change ownership of the
property at a land titles office, put a property in their own name. Then
they either sell it or go to the bank and get a homeowner line of
credit or a mortgage put on that property for their own purposes.
You
would think that you would know immediately if you had been scammed,
but fraudsters aren't entirely stupid and there are ways to delay
finding out.
"They have gone in and taken the title or put a mortgage on and then they will pay it for two or three months," said Leclair.
In the meantime, you're getting all your bills and everything looks fine.
"In
the meantime, your mortgage is gone and there's a new mortgage on there
- it's going to be paid for two or three months and then two or three
months later, they default, there's two or three months waiting time
before the bank actually does something so six months, nine months down
the road, you now get an angry bank calling you, saying they're going to
sell, or you get someone showing up at the door saying you're out the
door."
Leclair also pointed to a fraud victim in Vancouver who started wondering why he wasn't getting his property bill.
He called city hall and was told "well, you sold the property."
"It's
very ordinary things. You don't get a water bill, you don't get those
kind of things that could be a hint that something has changed along the
way."
Leclair
notes that while the government has systems in place to help you if you
are defrauded, it's up to the homeowner to monitor. Both he and Parsons
emphasized the importance of protecting your private information as a
way to avoid becoming a target of real estate fraud.
Parsons
said, in particular, you want to keep your social insurance number
confidential. And that means not carrying around your SIN card in your
wallet where it could be lost or stolen.
"And
now with these recycling bins, people are throwing more and more of
their mail and personal information in the blue bin - people should get a
shredder - $149 buys you some security," she said.
And
consider title insurance. Not only does it protect you now and in the
future, it provides coverage for fraud that may have occurred prior to
your purchase of your home.
Leclair
said the insurance about $200 to $300, depending on the value of
the property, and it is good for as long as you own the home.
And one of the worst things you can do?
"I've
read articles where people say the best protection against fraud is to
get the biggest mortgage you can on your property - it's a fallacy,"
said Leclair.
"People
figure, well if there's no equity in the property, how can they steal
it? Well they can go in and fraudulently discharge the mortgage. I laugh
every time I see this. Discharging a mortgage is probably simpler than
anything else. It's the bank's signature, it's very easy to imitate. Who
knows what a bank's signature looks like?"
To discuss your real estate needs please contact Sloan Van Mierlo,
Sales representative at Right at Home Realty Brokerage Contact Sloan at
416-986-2121 416-393-3232 or click soldwithsloan.com.
Interest Rates
Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney, sees a high dollar as hurting economic recovery.
BLAIR GABLE/REUTERS
OTTAWA-The Bank of Canada has issued its first unequivocal warning
that higher interest rates are on their way, likely in about five weeks.
The central bank’s policy statement Tuesday surprised no-one by
keeping the trend-setting interest rate at the record low 0.25 per cent
for another announcement date, but it was clear about where it was
heading next.
The bank’s governing council declared with the economy growing faster
this year than thought, as well as inflation, there was no need to stay
with its “conditional commitment” that it wouldn’t touch rates until the end of the second quarter, or after June 30.
“This unconventional policy provided considerable additional stimulus
during a period of very weak economic conditions,” the council wrote.
“With recent in the economic outlook, the need for such
extraordinary policy is now passing, and it is appropriate to begin to
lessen the degree of monetary stimulus.”
Hence, the council went on, it was withdrawing the conditional commitment.
That means the bank no longer believes it has a pledge to keep the
policy rate at the so-called lower bound until July and sets the stage
for a quarter-point or even half-point hike on June 1, the next
announcement date.
Markets had already been planning for the central bank to move off
emergency rates and in the past few weeks had begun hiking fixed,
longer-term mortgage rates.
Once the bank does act, short-term rates and variable mortgages are also
likely to be increased.
To drive home the point that the bank believes the financial crisis
is over, it said it was also ending its emergency liquidity instrument —
the purchase and resale agreements — that ensured money markets in
Canada continued to function during the recession.
Several economists had been urging governor Mark Carney to move early
on interest rates, but the vast majority felt the bank would lose
credibility if it did so without a clear indication that inflation was
getting out of control.
A small minority, however, argued that the economy was still too weak
to warrant any increase in interest rates this year, and that doing
could stall the recovery.
Economists also feared that an early signal from the bank, ahead of the
U.S. Federal Reserve, would light a fire under the loonie and make life
even more difficult for Canada’s battered manufacturing and export
sector.
The bank gave at most a mixed signal that it believes inflation is
getting out of hand, however, it said it was more lively than it had
expected.
Nor is the economy in danger of overheating, judging by the bank’s new forecasts for 2010, 2011 and 2012.
The bank said the economy will advance 3.7 per cent this year, 3.1
per cent next year and 1.9 per cent in 2012. In January, its last
forecast, it had growth at 2.9 this year, 3.5 next and gave no estimate
for 2012.
In essence, the bank has moved up growth in the near term but left it relatively unchanged in the aggregate.
“This profile reflects stronger near-term global growth, very strong
housing activity in Canada, and the bank’s assessment that policy
stimulus resulted in more expenditures being brought forward,” it said.
“At the same time, the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar,
Canada’s poor relative productivity performance and the low absolute
level of U.S. demand will continue to act as significant drags on
economic activity,” it added.
As for inflation, the council said core prices have been firmer than
projected, but that they were expected to ease slightly in the second
quarter of this year and remain near the bank’s two per cent target over
the next two years.
Total headline inflation, which includes volatile items such as
gasoline prices, was expected to be higher than two per cent this year,
but returning to target in the second half of 2011.
The sum of the parts, the bank said, is that the economy will return
to full capacity one-quarter sooner than it had previously thought in
the second quarter of 2011.
To discuss your real estate needs please contact Sloan Van Mierlo,
Sales representative at Right at Home Realty Brokerage Contact Sloan at
416-986-2121 416-393-3232 or click soldwithsloan.com.
Mortgage rates on rise again
April 13, 2010 Emily Mathieu Business Reporter, YourHome.ca
Canada’s
record low interest rates are in their final days and repeated hikes in
mortgage mean some first-time buyers could be shut out of the
housing market, according to a mortgage expert.
“It is
going to price some (buyers) out of the market. They are not going to be
able to qualify” on their own, said Anthony De Almeida, chief executive
officer of CanEquity Mortgage, a call centre-based nationally licensed
mortgage broker.
On
Tuesday, Royal Bank of Canada announced it was raising its residential
mortgage rates for the second time in less than a month, by a quarter of
a percentage point. Scotiabank followed suit a few hours later.
The
moves by Canada’s first- and third-biggest banks will almost certainly
lead to another round of higher rates by other lenders.
Effective
Wednesday, a closed fixed-rate five-year mortgage at RBC will carry an
annual interest rate of 6.10 per cent, with closed seven-year and closed
10-year fixed-rate mortgages carrying annual rates of 6.90 per cent and
7.05 per cent, respectively.
Two-, three- and four-year closed fixed-rate mortgages will carry annual rates of 4 per cent, 4.6 per cent and 5.59 per cent.
About
two weeks ago Royal Bank announced an increase on closed residential
mortgages with terms of three, four and five years, boosting its
five-year mortgage by 60 basis points. Other lenders followed suit with
almost identical increases.
Alan
White, professor of finance and investment strategy with Joseph L.
Rotman School of Management of the University of Toronto, said Tuesday’s
move are another indicator that a rate hike from the Bank of Canada is
imminent.“When they make the jump is the open question, but it
is a sign that interest rates are going up and if you have a variable
rate mortgage it is something to be aware of,” White said. “Clearly you
are going to see people trying to flip into fixed rate mortgages” and
away from the traditionally cheaper floating rate.
The
central bank has pledged to keep its overnight rate at a historic low of
0.25 per cent until the beginning of the third quarter.
White
said anything that dampens Canada’s hot housing market is not
necessarily a negative thing, but it will make getting into the market
more difficult for first-time buyers.
Prices
will decline, but not right away, said White. “The market will slow down
and in order to sell you will have to cut your price.”
De
Almeida said despite the hike it remains an affordable time to buy a
house. Even with higher prices, borrowing costs are far better than they
were five years ago, he said.
He said
he expects the persistent mortgage hikes will change the landscape of
how people qualify for a first mortgage, adding that co-signed mortgages
may be the new reality for first-time buyers.
Whenever
mortgage rates increase or interest rate hikes are predicted the
brokerage side of his company’s business peaks, he said. “It causes
people to jump into action,” said De Almeida.
CanEquity
Mortgage has access to 85 lenders and can typically offer rates lower
than the major lenders with no cost to the home buyer, he said. Prices
are still low compared to 2000, he added.
“It is a hike, but people have short memories when it comes to rates.”
To discuss your real estate needs please contact Sloan Van Mierlo, Sales representative at Right at Home Realty Brokerage Contact Sloan at 416-986-2121 416-393-3232 or click soldwithsloan.com.
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